Dieses Mal ist alles anders has ratings and reviews. Whitaker said: OMFG!! This was originally four stars. I was super-impressed by the fact th. Dieses Mal ist alles anders: Acht Jahrhunderte Finanzkrisen . Dieses Buch bietet einen Überblick über die Finanzkrisen der letzten acht Jahrhunderte. Dieses Mal ist alles anders: Acht Jahrhunderte Finanzkrisen. Carmen Reinhart Der Staatskonkurs ist langfristig der Normalfall und keine Ausnahme.
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This book helps you to put a good bull run in perspective and will convince you that this time it is NOT different. So I’m going to reduce my rating from a “meh” to a “boo! These data, simply by nature and no one’s fault, are in many cases not comparable, and just not useable in statistical studies. They also conclude that, although not all credit booms end in financial crisis, most emerging market crises were preceded by credit booms.
Such boasting of “eight centuries” is very misleading. Geld verdienen mit Amazon. Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, leading economists whose work has been influential in the policy debate concerning the current financial crisis, provocatively argue that financial combustions are universal rites of passage for emerging and established market nations. Put in another way, I feel like it is a preliminary analysis, where you throw out all raw materials you have, graphs, summaries, descriptives, and only with a very rough idea of what you are going to say.
rinanzkrisen We replicate Reinhart and Rogoff and find that coding errors, selective exclusion of available data, and unconventional weighting of summary statistics lead to serious erro OMFG!!
Jj rated it did not like it Sep 22, It is perhaps beyond its scope, as it claims itself. Open Preview See a Problem? An important book that will affect policy discussions for a long jxhrhunderte to come, This Time Is Different exposes centuries of financial missteps. Cherry-picking the data, selectively choosing the studies to include in meta-analyses, funny games with statistics, and outright falsification of data.
Hier kaufen oder eine gratis Kindle Lese-App herunterladen. Malewissa rated it did not like it May 30, Mir hat das Buch teilweise gut gefallen. Want to Read saving….
A must if you are interested in financial markets and financial crisis. We replicate Reinhart and Rogoff and find that coding errors, selective exclusion of available data, and unconventional weighting of summary statistics lead to serious errors that inaccurately represent the relationship between public debt and GDP growth among 20 advanced economies in the post-war period. I was like, huh? Nowhere in the book is there a convincing case, for example, that the ‘This time is different’ thinking is prevalent over time.
Dieses Mal ist alles anders: Acht Jahrhunderte Finanzkrisen by Carmen M. Reinhart (1 star ratings)
What is left is: This book is perhaps useful finwnzkrisen reference. Thanks for telling us about the problem. If nothing else, it should be commended for its extensive research, especially when it comes to what might be considered pre-capitalist societies.
Nikhil Daftary rated it did not like it Dec 06, Warehouse Deals Reduzierte B-Ware. Velda Heydon rated it did not like it Apr 27, Data matters–this study hasn’t replicated well, and while we might be able to give the authors the benefit of the doubt, it is worthwhile to highlight that this due diligence has happened well before now and yet many still give this book 4 or 5 stars without knowledge that a crucial argument of the text h Initial impressions: Was considering giving it 4 stars or higher.
Dieses Mal ist alles anders: Acht Jahrhunderte Finanzkrisen (German Edition)
I feel so cheated. When confronted, one of the authors basically came right out and offered a defense of his actions boils down to simply stating that the actual numbers don’t really matter, he’s still righ Cherry-picking the data, selectively choosing the studies to include in meta-analyses, funny games with statistics, and outright falsification of data.
Ben Hamilton rated it did not like it Jan 25, Es passieren aber immer die gleichen Fehler. Nevertheless, the book does discuss some theories, though very lightly. Das trifft das ganze Vorhersageproblem besser. Robert Mealey rated it did not like it Jun 12, Dieses Mal ist alles anders: Yet, sadly, what these authors tried to do is still very much surrounding this “scientific method.
To see what your friends thought of this book, please sign up. The only argument “This time is not different” is weakly supported by, again, descriptive statistics. Throughout history, rich and poor countries alike have been lending, borrowing, crashing–and recovering–their way through an extraordinary range of financial crises. Not because this book is a classic, nor because it is too scholarly for me to apprehend. In the end, “It is the real economy, stupid” – to misuse a well known quote.
Sagen Sie Ihre Meinung zu diesem Artikel. Spitzenrezensionen Neueste zuerst Spitzenrezensionen. Allerdings weiss man nicht so recht, wie man diese Informationen auf die aktuelle Situation beziehen soll.
Eine sinnvolle Konjunkturtheorie wird weder andrrs noch diskutiert. Die Daten zu den einzelnen Krisen werden jeweils in Tabellen oder Diagrammen aufbereitet eine Historie der Zinsen fehlt leider. Geben Sie Ihre Mobiltelefonnummer ein, um die kostenfreie App zu beziehen.
Our finding is that when ml calculated, the average real GDP growth rate for countries carrying a public-debt-to-GDP ratio of over 90 percent is actually 2. For that, I’d put the book under my never-ever-to-read-ever category, except that, damnit, I’ve already read it.
An interesting concept, but this is a hard slog to get through. Der Staatskonkurs ist langfristig der Normalfall und keine Ausnahme.